Rating Rationale
June 25, 2025 | Mumbai

Bullseye 04 2025

(Originator: Muthoot Microfin Limited)
'Provisional Crisil AA+ (SO)' assigned to Series A1 PTCs

 

Rating Action

Trust Name

Details

Pool Principal (Rs.Crore)

Amount Rated (Rs.Crore)

Original Tenure (Months)

Cash Collateral (Rs.Crore)

Ratings/Credit Opinions@

Rating Action

Bullseye 04 2025

Series A1 PTCs

132.28

114.43

21

9.26

Provisional Crisil AA+ (SO)

Provisional Rating Assigned

Note: None of the Directors on Crisil Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings

1 crore = 10 million

Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments 12.

.@A prefix of 'Provisional' indicates that the rating centrally factors in the strength of specific structures and is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable, without which the rating would either have been different or not assigned ab initio. This is in compliance with a May 6, 2015 directive ‘Standardizing the term, rating symbol, and manner of disclosure with regards to conditional/ provisional/ in-principle ratings assigned by credit rating agencies' by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and April 27, 2021 circular ‘Standardizing and Strengthening Policies on Provisional Rating by Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) for Debt Instruments’ by SEBI
 

Detailed Rationale

Crisil Ratings has assigned its ‘Provisional Crisil AA+ (SO)’ rating to Series A1 pass-through certificates (PTCs), issued by ‘Bullseye 04 2025’ under a securitisation transaction originated by Muthoot Microfin Limited (MML; rated ‘Crisil A+/Stable/Crisil A1+), backed by a pool comprising microfinance loan receivables originated by MML.

 

The ratings are based on credit quality of the pool backing the transaction, the origination and servicing capabilities of MML, credit support available to the PTCs, payment mechanism for the transaction, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

Payment Structure: The investor payouts for PTCs are supported by cash collateral and subordination of over collateral principal and excess interest spread (EIS). On a monthly basis, the cash collateral can be used to make the promised interest payments in case of a shortfall in collections from the pool to PTCs. On the final maturity date, the cash collateral can also be used to make the promised principal repayment in case of a shortfall in collections from the pool. The trust settled by the transaction’s Trustee, i.e. Catalyst Trusteeship Limited will issue Series A1 PTCs in exchange for a purchase consideration equal to 86.5% of the pool principal at the time of securitisation.

 

The transaction also has some pre-defined triggers which if met, will lead to utilisation of EIS for accelerated principal amortisation of the PTCs.

 

Adequacy of credit enhancement

Credit enhancement available in the transaction structure for Series A1 PTC:

  • Series A1 PTCs are supported by internal credit enhancement subordination of over collateral principal amounting to Rs 17.86 crore (13.5% of pool principal), subordination of scheduled EIS amounting to Rs 20.22 crore (15.3% of pool principal).
  • The PTCs are also supported by external credit enhancement from a cash collateral amounting to Rs 9.26 crore (7.0% of pool principal).

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths

  • Credit collateral in the structure amounting to Rs 9.26 crore (7.0% of pool principal). Series A1 PTCs are additionally, supported by internal credit enhancement subordination of over collateral principal amounting to Rs 17.86 crore (13.5% of pool principal) and subordination of scheduled EIS amounting to Rs 20.22 crore (15.3% of pool principal).
  • All the contracts (number: 28,440) in the underlying pool are ever-current as of the cut-off date (April 24, 2025). The pool is characterised by weighted average seasoning of 5.6 months resulting in principal amortisation of 19.5%.

 

Weaknesses

  • Susceptibility to political and regulatory environment:

                     The microfinance industry remains susceptible to risks arising out of socio-political issues and regulatory changes. Such events have the ability to disrupt loan repayments of underlying borrowers. The unsecured nature of microfinance loans and inherent modest credit risk profile of the borrowers have been considered by Crisil Ratings in its analysis.

  • The pool is moderately concentrated with the share of top 3 states at 47.0% of pool principal, however at district level pool is diversified with the share of top 3 districts at 10.9% of pool principal.

 

These aspects have been adequately factored in its rating analysis by Crisil Ratings.

Liquidity: Strong
Liquidity is strong given that the credit enhancement available in the structure is sufficient to cover losses exceeding 1.5 times the currently estimated base shortfalls due to weaker than expected performance of the pool.
 

Rating Sensitivity Factors

Upward factors

  • Credit enhancement available in the structure exceeding 3.0 times the estimated adjusted base shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool.

 

Downward factors

  • Credit enhancement falling below 2.3 times the estimated adjusted base shortfalls
  • A downgrade in the rating of the servicer/originator.
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating.

Quality of asset pool and strength of cashflows

The transaction is backed by microfinance receivables originated by MML. The contracts in the pool have weighted average seasoning of 5.6 months, consequently, the pool is amortised by 19.5% as of the cut-off date. The pool is geographically concentrated with the top 3 state accounting for 47.1% of pool principal. The average ticket size for contracts in the pool is Rs 57,752. All the contracts in the underlying loan pool are current as of the cut-off date (April 24, 2025).

 

Rating assumption

Background:

PTC investors are taking a direct exposure on the repayment ability of the underlying borrowers in the pool. Credit risk in the transaction is factored through the base case shortfalls expected on the portfolio, which are further adjusted for pool specific characteristics.

 

To assess the base case collection shortfalls for the transaction, Crisil Ratings has analyzed the portfolio delinquency movement (with information on 30+ and 90+ delinquency) of MFI loans originated by Muthoot during the period starting FY2016 till March 2025.

 

Crisil Ratings has also analysed the delinquency performance in various geographies. As of March 2025, the 30+ delinquency for Muthoot’s MFI loan portfolio was 9.0%. Base case shortfalls on the portfolio are adjusted based on pool characteristics – which includes seasoning profile and repayment track record, parameters such as original tenure, interest rate, geography (state/district) etc.

 

Prepayment is a form of market risk which will result in the reduction of excess interest spread in the transaction. Prepayment risk has been assessed based on historically observed levels of prepayments for similar pools.

 

Assumptions:

  • After making the adjustments on the above factors, the base case shortfalls in the pool by maturity of the transaction is in the range of 8.0% to 10.0% of pool cashflows.
  • Monthly prepayment rate of 0.5% to 1.5% has also been applied to the pool cashflows

 

Crisil Ratings has additionally factored risk arising from borrower & geographic concentration in the pool.

 

Additional disclosures for Provisional ratings:

The provisional rating is contingent upon execution of the following documents:

  • Trust Deed
  • /Power of Attorney
  • Information memorandum
  • Legal opinion
  • Trustee letter
  • Representations and Warranties letter
  • Assignment Agreement
  • Accounts Agreement
  • Servicing Agreement

 

The provisional rating shall be converted into a final rating after receipt of transaction documents duly executed within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument. The final rating assigned post conversion shall be consistent with the available documents. In case of non-receipt of the duly executed transaction documents within the above-mentioned timelines, the rating committee of Crisil Ratings may grant an extension of up to another 90 days in line with its policy on provisional ratings.

 

Rating that would have been assigned in absence of the pending documentation: In the absence of documentation considered while assigning provisional rating as mentioned above, Crisil Ratings would not have assigned any rating.

 

Risks associated with provisional nature of credit rating:

A prefix of 'Provisional' to the rating symbol indicates that the rating is contingent upon execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable. In case the documents received deviates significantly from the expectations, Crisil Ratings may take an appropriate action including placing the rating on watch or a rating change on a case-to-case basis. In the absence of the pending documentation, the rating on the instrument would either have been different or not assigned ab initio.

About the Originator

MML, a part of MPG, provides microfinance loans to women. MPG started its microfinance operations in 2010, as a separate division of MFL, the flagship company of the group. In December 2011, the group acquired a Mumbai-based non-banking financial company (NBFC), Pancharatna Securities Ltd, and renamed it as MML.

 

 In March 2015, MML received an NBFC-MFI licence from the Reserve Bank of India. As on March 31, 2025, MFL held 50.2% equity in MML, followed by its promoters, who held 5.3%. Along with the promoters, MML's board includes one member nominated by Creation Investments and Greater Pacific Capital and four independent directors.

 

 MML had AUM of Rs 12,356 crore and networth of Rs 2,632 crore as on March 31, 2025. Operations of the microfinance division are spread across Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Haryana, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, West Bengal, Punjab, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Himachal Pradesh and Telangana.

Key Financial Indicators

Particulars

Unit

March 2025

March 2024

March 2023

March 2022

Total assets

Rs crore

10857

11590

8529

5591

Total income

Rs crore

2450

2286

1446

843

Profit after tax

Rs crore

-222

449.6

163.8

47.4

90+ day past due

%

5.6

4.2

5.1

6.8

Gearing

Times

3.0

3.0

4.0

3.0

Adjusted gearing

Times

4.1

3.9

5.2

4.5

Return on managed assets

%

(1.6)

3.6

1.8

0.7

Quality and experience of servicer

MML will continue to service loans assigned to this trust. MML has originated several securitisation transactions. Servicing has been done, and reports have been shared across all these transactions in a timely manner.

 

Risks and concerns for investors and mitigating factors: Based on Crisil Ratings’ assessment, the total credit enhancement available in the transaction (internal – in the form of EIS and overcollateralisation; and external – in the form of cash collateral) together can mitigate against shortfalls in collection from the pool even after stressing them commensurate with the rating assigned to the PTCs. Crisil Ratings has adequately factored key risks in the transaction including Credit & Market (as highlighted in rating assumptions section), Counterparty and Legal risks. Legal risks are assessed based on detailed analysis of transaction documentation. Risk factored from counterparties are mentioned in the table below:

Counterparty details

Capacity

Counterparty

Rating

Effect on transaction rating in case of non-performance and Provision for appointment of back-up, if any

Originator

MML

Crisil A+/Stable/Crisil A1+

No effect.

Servicer

MML

Crisil A+/Stable/Crisil A1+

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of the Servicer. However, Crisil Ratings does not currently envisage the need for replacement. The Trustee, on behalf of the investors, shall retain the right to appoint a replacement Servicer in the occurrence of a ‘Servicer Event of Default’ as per the terms of the transaction. Since there is time lag between pool collections and investor payouts. In the interim, the money collected lies with the servicer and may commingle with its own cash flow. As monthly pool collections are commingled only for a short period of time, the short-term credit quality of the servicer determines the commingling risk.

Collection and Payout Account Bank

The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Ltd

Not rated by Crisil

Negligible effect. As per the terms of the transaction, the Trustee, on behalf of the investors, has the right to change the CPA Bank.

Cash collateral bank

The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Ltd

Not rated by Crisil

Negligible effect. As per the terms of the transaction, the Trustee, on behalf of the investors, has the right to change the Bank with which the Cash Collateral fixed deposits are maintained.

Trustee

Catalyst Trusteeship Limited

Not rated by Crisil

Negligible effect. As per the terms of the transaction, the Trustee can be replaced by the investors holding majority interest.


A summary of key terms of servicer contract
As per indicative transaction terms, the key points on the role of the servicer to be covered as part of the transaction documents are as below:

  • The Trustee acting for and on behalf of the investors shall appoint, the servicer for the purpose of collecting, receiving and managing payment of the Receivables into the Collection and Payment Account for the purpose of managing, collecting and receiving the receivables, holding the underlying security and carry out other roles and roles and responsibilities as specified under the transaction documents
  • The servicer shall receive servicing fees which shall be paid by the trustee in accordance with the Waterfall Mechanism as per the transaction documents.
  • The servicer shall collect the receivables from the underlying borrowers and deposit the collected amounts in the collection and payment account in a timely manner as per the terms of the transaction documents.
  • The servicer shall submit to the trustee all the data and reports in the manner and as per the timelines as specified under the transaction documents.
  • The occurrence of certain events as per the terms of the transaction documents shall be construed as a Servicer Event of Default.

Provision for appointment of back-up servicer: The Trustee (acting on the instructions of the investors) as per the terms of the Servicer Agreement and upon the occurrence of Servicer’s Event of default, shall retain the right to appoint an alternate servicer.

Performance of outstanding rated transactions
Crisil Ratings has ratings outstanding on instruments issued under securitisation transactions backed by Belstar-originated loans.

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
Crisil Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

Crisil Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the Crisil Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN$

Type of Instrument

Date of Allotment$

Coupon Rate (%) (p.a.p.m.)

 

Maturity

Date#

Rated Amount

(Rs.Crore)

Complexity level

Outstanding

Ratings/Credit Opinions

Cash Collateral

(Rs.Crore)^

NA

Series A1 PTCs

09-Jun-25

8.40

16-Feb-27

114.43

Highly complex

Provisional Crisil AA+ (SO)

9.26

#Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option

^Additional credit support includes Rs 20.22 crore (assuming zero prepayments) in the form of scheduled cashflow subordination for Series A1 PTCs – including Rs 17.86 crore of principal overcollateralization.

$instruments yet to be issued.

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2025 (History) 2024  2023  2022  Start of 2022
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 PTCs LT 114.43 Provisional Crisil AA+ (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
Basics of Ratings (including default recognition, assessing information adequacy)
Criteria for securitisation transactions

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